Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Why JPMorgan Stock Can't Make Up Its Mind Today

If there's such a thing as a wave of indifference and indecisiveness, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM  ) is riding it this morning. An hour into trading, shares are down by 0.19%, along with shares in Citigroup and Bank of America, while Wells Fargo is trading in the green.

The markets can't make up their mind which direction to head either. JPMorgan got some unsettling news on Thursday, which could be adding to the stock's general malaise today.

Talk about toxic debt
Last Thursday, The New York Times reported that JPMorgan could lose $1.6 billion in a deal involving a bankrupt county in Alabama. Terms of the settlement were announced on Wednesday. The losses revolve around a deal to finance repairs of the county's failing sewer system. The county declared bankruptcy in 2011.

According to The Times: "The [bankruptcy] deal calls for [JPMorgan] to forfeit $842 million on the $1.22 billion of sewer debt that it holds, which comes on top of $647 million it forgave in termination fees on derivatives contracts with the county, and a $75 million penalty it paid to settle a complaint by the Securities and Exchange Commission." 

Foolish bottom line
There's no word yet on whether or not JPMorgan will appeal the ruling, so there's a chance the bank won't be on the hook for the entire $1.6 billion. And the $647 million in termination fees and $75 million SEC penalty may have already been accounted for along the way.

Regardless, $1.6 billion would be far from crippling for the superbank, and this shouldn't turn out to be another London Whale. Investors should take some comfort in all of this.

The lackadaisical market in general is surprising. It was only last Friday that the Labor Department announced that initial jobless claims were down by 11,000 for the week ending June 1, news which the markets rallied strongly on. It could be that encouraging economic news also reminded investors that the Federal Reserve's monthly bond-buying programs is set to be dialed back as the economy improves. We're in a market where up can sometimes mean down.

But the day is young. Even as I finish writing this, it looks like the markets, along with shares in each of the Big Four banks, may be headed solidly into the green. It's hard to pin down the exact cause for a stock's day-to-day movement, which is why here at The Motley Fool, we counsel investors to take a long-term view of investing. Tune out the market noise and tune into the fundamentals of the companies you're invested in. Your broker might not thank you, but your portfolio will. 

Looking for in-depth analysis on JPMorgan?
Check out a new Motley Fool report on the superbank, written by Ilan Moscovitz -- The Motley Fool's Senior Banking Analyst and JPMorgan Chase specialist. You'll learn where the key opportunities for the superbank lie, where its core growth will come from, and the potential business risks. You'll also get an analysis of its leadership team. And with quarterly updates included, this might quite literally be the last JPMorgan investment research you'll ever need. For immediate access click here now.

 

1 comment:

  1. JP Morgan is confused and will always stay confuse. As if one is trying to stay in this competitive market, being confused is not the valid option to avail.

    ReplyDelete